Stats Assistance
CAR · Conference Rankings

2026 college football rankings
Every FBS team. One independent matrix.

A conference-first ranking and forecasting system for all 138 FBS programs. Conference quality is earned in nonconference games; team quality is earned against the opponents actually played.

2026 Preseason EditionProjection—not yet an earned rankingUpdated August 12, 2026
Initial matrix

2026 FBS rankings

138teams ranked
How to read this release: This is the preseason starting point. The first earned CAR ranking will be published after Week 1, with preseason influence declining to zero after Week 7.
RankTeamConferenceRecordPreviousCAR pointsConfidence
1Ohio State Big Ten0–0NR5.000 High
2Oregon Big Ten0–0NR4.606 High
3Notre Dame FBS Independents0–0NR4.306 High
4Georgia SEC0–0NR4.259 High
5Indiana Big Ten0–0NR4.097 High
6Texas SEC0–0NR4.005 High
7Texas Tech Big 120–0NR3.912 High
8Miami ACC0–0NR3.634 High
9Texas A&M SEC0–0NR3.542 High
10LSU SEC0–0NR3.495 High
11Alabama SEC0–0NR3.218 High
12Oklahoma SEC0–0NR3.171 High
13USC Big Ten0–0NR3.148 High
14Tennessee SEC0–0NR3.125 High
15Ole Miss SEC0–0NR3.079 High
16Penn State Big Ten0–0NR3.009 High
17Michigan Big Ten0–0NR2.986 High
18BYU Big 120–0NR2.963 High
19Florida SEC0–0NR2.870 High
20Washington Big Ten0–0NR2.801 High
21Missouri SEC0–0NR2.801 High
22Iowa Big Ten0–0NR2.731 High
23James Madison Sun Belt0–0NR2.658 Medium
24Clemson ACC0–0NR2.593 High
25South Carolina SEC0–0NR2.523 High
26Utah Big 120–0NR2.500 High
27North Texas American Athletic0–0NR2.381 Medium
28North Dakota State Mountain West0–0NR2.304 Medium
29Vanderbilt SEC0–0NR1.984 Medium
30Virginia ACC0–0NR1.948 Medium
31Old Dominion Sun Belt0–0NR1.921 Medium
32SMU ACC0–0NR1.727 Medium
33Navy American Athletic0–0NR1.690 Medium
34Tulane American Athletic0–0NR1.661 Medium
35South Florida American Athletic0–0NR1.548 Medium
36Arizona Big 120–0NR1.516 Medium
37San Diego State Pac-120–0NR1.424 Medium
38Western Michigan Mid-American0–0NR1.407 Medium
39Toledo Mid-American0–0NR1.378 Medium
40East Carolina American Athletic0–0NR1.367 Medium
41UNLV Mountain West0–0NR1.357 Medium
42Louisville ACC0–0NR1.307 Medium
43Houston Big 120–0NR1.293 Medium
44New Mexico Mountain West0–0NR1.255 Medium
45UConn FBS Independents0–0NR1.193 Medium
46TCU Big 120–0NR1.150 Medium
47Hawai'i Mountain West0–0NR1.110 Medium
48Ohio Mid-American0–0NR1.091 Medium
49Louisiana Tech Conference USA0–0NR1.080 Medium
50Wake Forest ACC0–0NR1.048 Medium
51Kennesaw State Conference USA0–0NR0.972 Medium
52Illinois Big Ten0–0NR0.867 Medium
53Western Kentucky Conference USA0–0NR0.854 Medium
54Boise State Pac-120–0NR0.843 Medium
55Memphis American Athletic0–0NR0.805 Medium
56Pittsburgh ACC0–0NR0.795 Medium
57Georgia Tech ACC0–0NR0.785 Medium
58Iowa State Big 120–0NR0.767 Medium
59Washington State Pac-120–0NR0.723 Medium
60Fresno State Pac-120–0NR0.693 Medium
61Duke ACC0–0NR0.686 Medium
62Texas State Pac-120–0NR0.683 Medium
63Jacksonville State Conference USA0–0NR0.651 Medium
64NC State ACC0–0NR0.644 Medium
65UTSA American Athletic0–0NR0.467 Medium
66Army American Athletic0–0NR0.453 Medium
67Arizona State Big 120–0NR0.424 Medium
68Kansas State Big 120–0NR0.379 Medium
69Troy Sun Belt0–0NR0.282 Medium
70Miami (OH) Mid-American0–0NR0.152 Medium
71Central Michigan Mid-American0–0NR0.131 Medium
72Minnesota Big Ten0–0NR0.113 Medium
73Florida International Conference USA0–0NR0.102 Medium
74Cincinnati Big 120–0NR-0.029 Medium
75Sacramento State Mid-American0–0NR-0.084 Medium
76Georgia Southern Sun Belt0–0NR-0.092 Medium
77Nebraska Big Ten0–0NR-0.126 Medium
78Northwestern Big Ten0–0NR-0.136 Medium
79Arkansas State Sun Belt0–0NR-0.148 Medium
80Southern Miss Sun Belt0–0NR-0.156 Medium
81Auburn SEC0–0NR-0.175 Medium
82Marshall Sun Belt0–0NR-0.204 Medium
83California ACC0–0NR-0.246 Medium
84Missouri State Conference USA0–0NR-0.278 Medium
85Florida State ACC0–0NR-0.300 Medium
86Delaware Conference USA0–0NR-0.302 Medium
87Louisiana Sun Belt0–0NR-0.420 Medium
88Kansas Big 120–0NR-0.506 Medium
89Coastal Carolina Sun Belt0–0NR-0.528 Medium
90Utah State Pac-120–0NR-0.535 Medium
91Kentucky SEC0–0NR-0.568 Medium
92Liberty Conference USA0–0NR-0.573 Medium
93UCF Big 120–0NR-0.596 Medium
94Temple American Athletic0–0NR-0.638 Medium
95Buffalo Mid-American0–0NR-0.688 Medium
96Rutgers Big Ten0–0NR-0.689 Medium
97Baylor Big 120–0NR-0.703 Medium
98Air Force Mountain West0–0NR-0.718 Medium
99Akron Mid-American0–0NR-0.738 Medium
100Kent State Mid-American0–0NR-0.769 Medium
101App State Sun Belt0–0NR-0.777 Medium
102Maryland Big Ten0–0NR-0.936 Medium
103South Alabama Sun Belt0–0NR-0.950 Medium
104North Carolina ACC0–0NR-1.021 Medium
105Eastern Michigan Mid-American0–0NR-1.025 Medium
106Bowling Green Mid-American0–0NR-1.068 Medium
107West Virginia Big 120–0NR-1.110 Medium
108Florida Atlantic American Athletic0–0NR-1.117 Medium
109Mississippi State SEC0–0NR-1.131 Medium
110Wyoming Mountain West0–0NR-1.133 Medium
111New Mexico State Conference USA0–0NR-1.169 Medium
112Michigan State Big Ten0–0NR-1.185 Medium
113Stanford ACC0–0NR-1.228 Medium
114Wisconsin Big Ten0–0NR-1.229 Medium
115Tulsa American Athletic0–0NR-1.247 Medium
116San José State Mountain West0–0NR-1.276 Medium
117Rice American Athletic0–0NR-1.425 Medium
118Arkansas SEC0–0NR-1.437 Medium
119Ball State Mid-American0–0NR-1.450 Medium
120Nevada Mountain West0–0NR-1.468 Medium
121Northern Illinois Mountain West0–0NR-1.499 Medium
122Colorado Big 120–0NR-1.534 Medium
123UAB American Athletic0–0NR-1.545 Medium
124UCLA Big Ten0–0NR-1.562 Medium
125Middle Tennessee Conference USA0–0NR-1.735 Medium
126Oregon State Pac-120–0NR-1.829 Medium
127UTEP Mountain West0–0NR-1.833 Medium
128Boston College ACC0–0NR-1.841 Medium
129Virginia Tech ACC0–0NR-1.890 Medium
130UL Monroe Sun Belt0–0NR-1.934 Medium
131Purdue Big Ten0–0NR-2.113 Medium
132Syracuse ACC0–0NR-2.198 Medium
133Colorado State Pac-120–0NR-2.212 Medium
134Sam Houston Conference USA0–0NR-2.405 Medium
135Georgia State Sun Belt0–0NR-2.653 Medium
136Oklahoma State Big 120–0NR-2.678 Medium
137Charlotte American Athletic0–0NR-3.069 Medium
138Massachusetts Mid-American0–0NR-3.452 Medium
Transparent by design

How CAR works

35%

Matrix résumé

Rewards wins over strong opponents using the opponent's frozen pregame matrix value.

30%

Predictive strength

Measures current on-field quality using opponent-adjusted efficiency and personnel information.

25%

Record quality

Values wins and losses in context instead of relying on raw winning percentage.

10%

Conference strength

Uses opponent- and location-adjusted performance against other conferences.

FCS rule

An FBS win over an FCS opponent earns no positive résumé or conference points. An FBS loss receives a substantial deduction.

Two distinct outputs

The selection ranking asks who has earned a playoff place. The predictive rating asks who is most likely to win next.

Independent inputs

AP, ESPN, CFP committee rankings, and gambling odds are not inputs. They may be used only as external benchmarks.

What comes next

First earned ranking: after Week 1

Each weekly edition will preserve the prior ranking, show movement, update conference performance, and publish selection and predictive views separately.

View all teams
About the rankings

CAR college football ranking questions

What are the CAR rankings?

CAR is an independent ranking of every FBS football team. It begins with how conferences perform outside their leagues, then evaluates each team's results against the strength of the opponents it actually played.

How often are the rankings updated?

During the season, a new edition is planned each week after the completed games are processed. The page keeps the prior rank so readers can see movement over time.

Does CAR use AP, ESPN, CFP, or betting rankings?

No. Those rankings and betting odds are not model inputs. CAR can compare its results with outside systems, but its published rank is independently calculated.

Why rank all 138 FBS teams?

Ranking the full division gives every opponent a matrix value. That lets a win over a strong team count more than a win over a weak team and helps quantify schedule quality consistently.